Appeals to Authority – A Growing Threat

Who will win the future?

Appeals to authority touch the Soul of Animals (hierarchy and conformism); whereas, science touches the Soul of Humanity (integrity, open mindedness, tolerance, responsibility, curiosity, courage, honesty, peace, nobility, progress).

Let’s start with the fundamentals. A logical argument consists of facts, and it has a conclusion that can be logically derived from those facts. Of course, facts can be wrong, and logic can be flawed.

An increasing number of  arguments simply do not contain those facts or logic sufficient to actually prove their conclusion, but that’s OK, some facts and logic are more helpful than none. Of course, we all know that bias commonly motivates many people to cheat by leaving out inconvenient facts and/or logic. However, such familiar trickery is really just the tip of the iceberg because an increasing number of arguments also contain logical fallacies.

Logical fallacies are common argument techniques (first identified by Aristotle) that sound logical but actually prove nothing. However, logical fallacies are far easier to construct than to refute. Therefore, some exposure to the known logical fallacies will help us to identify them more quickly and make them less common.

An increasingly common logical fallacy is the appeal to authority, which is where the speaker claims that we should accept his argument because some “expert” agrees with it.

To a natural skeptic like myself, an appeal to authority usually fails immediately. Whether one is an expert or not, one must conform to the same criteria, if one expects me to be persuaded by an appeal to authority.

Although an appeal to authority can never prove a conclusion, it can be a strong argument if it has met a sufficient set of criteria. Until I have confirmed the following sets of criteria, I will doubt the claims of even the most exalted expert. The first set of criteria apply to the claim itself:

  1. Is the claim simple and not unusually complex?
  2. Is the claim trying to explain what has already happened, or is it trying to predict the future?
  3. Is the claim falsifiable?
  4. Is the claim free of social pressure?
  5. Is the claim free of professional pressure?
  6. Is the claim free of financial pressure?
  7. Is the claim free of emotional pressure?
  8. Do competing sources agree with the claim?
  9. Is the claim entirely transparent?
  10. Is the claim compatible with my experience, or does it contradict my experience?
  11. Is the claim directly from the authority, or has it been communicated through a medium that could have distorted it?
  12. In the context of the claim, if it is wrong, would the consequence be minimal damage or maximum damage?

The next set of criteria apply to the source of the claim:

  1. Is the source free of bias?
  2. How often has the source been wrong before?
  3. Has the source ever tried to intentionally deceive anyone?
  4. Has the source successfully explained many similar examples before?
  5. Does the source have sufficient background (training, independent research, etc.) to make the claim?
  6. Is the source entirely transparent?

The next set of criteria apply to the receiver of the claim:

  1. Have I observed that the claims by that authority proved to be true in the past?
  2. Have I observed that the claims by that authority matched my experience in past?
  3. Do other people I trust, trust that authority?

Clearly, it would be so difficult for an appeal to authority to meet sufficient criteria to be persuasive that it would be easier to just make a logical argument that contains sufficient facts and logic to stand on its own. Hence, why would anyone bother to make an appeal to authority if they weren’t trying to deceive?

About the only time an appeal to authority meets sufficient criteria is when an authority like a doctor or mechanic, who was recommended by friends,  transparently substantiates a common and easily verified diagnosis that offers him little financial incentive.

Examples

One of my favorite abuses was when the politically motivated authorities at the Nobel committee used their authority to bestow authority on Al Gore and then on Barack Obama by granting them the Nobel Prize.

My other favorite example is Anthropogenic Global Warming,  which is a very complex web of claims, but at the highest level, the claim of Global Warming believers (led by authorities who are proven frauds like Al Gore, NASA “scientist” James Hansen, and British “scientist” Thomas Mann) is that human production of CO2 will cause imminent, extreme, and global catastrophe; and that to prevent their catastrophic predictions, governments must control most human activity and the middle class must make extreme sacrifices. Hence, Global Warming appeals to a broad spectrum of progressives, socialists, and fascists.

I was able to generate most of my list of criteria by which I judge an appeal to authority by simply thinking about Global Warming, which violates all but one of them. Global Warming is the biggest and best example of appeals to authority I have ever seen.

To be fair, deep within the claims of Global Warming believers one can find appeals to authority that even a skeptic like myself would accept as fact because they are similar to our example of when we believe doctors and mechanics. For example, the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere has been increasing at a rate of 2 parts per million per year. I don’t doubt this claim.

Curiously, the increase of 2ppm per year is simple and not very alarming and thus is often suppressed. Most believers I meet on the street have not heard of it and become more skeptical of Global Warming when they learn of it.

Even the simple claim of an increase of 2ppm/year is not as simple as it seems because it does not tell us whether this increase occurs in the lower or upper atmosphere, and it does not tell us where Global Warming theory predicts the increase should occur. It turns out that this is one of many examples where the facts contradict the theory, but Global Warming believers won’t tell you that either, but of course, most of them don’t know about this contradiction anyway.

Clearly, an appeal to authority is always suspect in a political or religious context – and yet is increasingly common.

The Future

Those who are increasingly targets of appeals to authority are of course those who are most vulnerable to appeals to authority, and those who are most vulnerable to appeals to authority are – our children.

Those who want to control the future are using appeals to authority to indoctrinate our children because in government schools, our children are routinely taught to shut up, sit down, listen up, and conform. In other words, in government schools, our children are conditioned to accept authority, believe authority, obey authority, and pressure others to conform to authority. All any faction has to do with such a vulnerable audience is include their propaganda while they’re forcing our children to listen.

So who are the factions indoctrinating our children?

The factions who are increasingly using appeals to authority are of course those who claim to manufacture and possess authority, which are government and academia; as well as those who actually propagate appeals to that authority, which are the media.

The factions who increasingly manufacture and propagate appeals to authority – those who are indoctrinating our children – can be described as an assortment of progressives, socialists, fascists, communists, and Marxists.

Schools coerce our children into watching socialist propaganda.
Yeah. That’s not creepy.
Don’t schools know that Al Gore and his documentary are proven frauds?
Teachers caught saying we need to promote the ideas of Marxism in the classroom. WTF!?
A brave liberal democrat disagrees with the indoctrination of school kids by leftists!
Jim
 

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